Thursday 10/01/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox (-220, NA)

Eric Wedge – the Tribe has spoken.

The Cleveland Indians have bid farewell to their manager, releasing the seven-year skip and his coaching staff Wednesday afternoon. Wedge was at the helm of Cleveland's September swoon, losing seven of its last 10 and 20 of the last 25 games.

In funny twist, Wedge will finish out the season for the Indians. The team reported the manager has known this firing was coming down the pipe, which could be why they have struggled in the past week. Now, Tribe bettors are going to have to put their faith in a team that may or may not try to finish strong for their departing manager.

This season has been a total bust for Cleveland. The franchise is in the basement of the American League Central and has washed its hands of two of their all-time greats in Victor Martinez and Cliff Lee. General manager Mark Shapiro has said this movement is a “reloading” - but wise bettors know its more of an imploding.

The Tribe are fade bait for the final games of the season.

Pick: Boston


Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners (+109, NA)

While most teams outside the playoff picture couldn't give a rat's ass about the final week of the season, two American League West opponents are trying to go down swinging. The Mariners and A's are a combined 30-21 this month.

As of Wednesday, Seattle must win at least one of its final five games to finish with a .500 record while Oakland is trying to salvage a sub-.500 mark for 2009.

“We’ve gone through a lot this year with injuries. We don’t have Russell Branyan, Sean White is down, (Erik) Bedard’s down,” manager Don Wakamatsu told the Kitsap Sun. “There’s a lot of injuries, maybe the most in the American League.

“Eighty-one (victories) is a stepping stone. There’s more that we’re looking to do here, but under the circumstances I’m awfully proud of these guys.”

Seattle earned a win in Game 1 of this series Tuesday night and have won 12 of the teams 17 meetings heading into Wednesday's game. The Mariners staff has posted a 3.52 ERA versus Oakland this year.

Pick: Seattle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

THURSDAY

Colorado/ Mill under 10

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday 10/01/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox (-220, NA)

Eric Wedge – the Tribe has spoken.

The Cleveland Indians have bid farewell to their manager, releasing the seven-year skip and his coaching staff Wednesday afternoon. Wedge was at the helm of Cleveland's September swoon, losing seven of its last 10 and 20 of the last 25 games.

In funny twist, Wedge will finish out the season for the Indians. The team reported the manager has known this firing was coming down the pipe, which could be why they have struggled in the past week. Now, Tribe bettors are going to have to put their faith in a team that may or may not try to finish strong for their departing manager.

This season has been a total bust for Cleveland. The franchise is in the basement of the American League Central and has washed its hands of two of their all-time greats in Victor Martinez and Cliff Lee. General manager Mark Shapiro has said this movement is a “reloading” - but wise bettors know its more of an imploding.

The Tribe are fade bait for the final games of the season.

Pick: Boston


Oakland Athletics at Seattle Mariners (+109, NA)

While most teams outside the playoff picture couldn't give a rat's ass about the final week of the season, two American League West opponents are trying to go down swinging. The Mariners and A's are a combined 30-21 this month.

As of Wednesday, Seattle must win at least one of its final five games to finish with a .500 record while Oakland is trying to salvage a sub-.500 mark for 2009.

“We’ve gone through a lot this year with injuries. We don’t have Russell Branyan, Sean White is down, (Erik) Bedard’s down,” manager Don Wakamatsu told the Kitsap Sun. “There’s a lot of injuries, maybe the most in the American League.

“Eighty-one (victories) is a stepping stone. There’s more that we’re looking to do here, but under the circumstances I’m awfully proud of these guys.”

Seattle earned a win in Game 1 of this series Tuesday night and have won 12 of the teams 17 meetings heading into Wednesday's game. The Mariners staff has posted a 3.52 ERA versus Oakland this year.

Pick: Seattle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Paul Maholm, Pittsburgh Pirates

With the Pirates' tendency to send all their talent elsewhere, Paul Maholm could find himself on a contender in 2010 if he continues pitching this well.

The Bucs left-hander is 1-1 in his last three starts, posting a 2.14 ERA in 21 innings of work. Maholm's latest trip to the bump was a seven-inning effort in which he allowed just three earned runs on seven hits in a no-decision against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

He was bailed out a couple times by his defense and has struggled with his command on his sinker ball during recent starts.

Brett Anderson, Oakland Athletics

The A's southpaw has had a big part in his team's hot play down the home stretch of the season. Anderson has won four straight starts and posts an ERA of 2.28 with 26 strikeouts and just three walks.

Anderson lasted just under six innings in his most recent start, limiting the Rangers to just one earned run on six hits. He whiffed six batters in that game and broke the A's rookie pitching record for strikeouts held by Rick Langford.


Slumping

John Lackey, Los Angeles Angels

The Angels ace is not as sharp as he should be with October knocking at the door. In his last two starts, Lackey has given up 10 runs in just 11 innings of work. In his last outing, the Halos right-hander allowed six hits – two of which were home runs. Those were the first long balls Lackey had allowed in a month.

Dan Haren, Arizona Diamondbacks

Another ace hitting a snag late in the season is D-backs starter Dan Haren.

Arizona's righty has allowed a total of 10 runs in his last two starts. He was knocked around for five earned runs on nine hits in six innings against the San Diego Padres last weekend. He is 5-4 since the break with a 4.44 ERA.

 

[OccamsRazor]

Who the fuk changed the times??? Post 1 and 2 were posted way after post#3, i give up! I'm tired and this just is not worth it!

the board is acting up, this happened last year right before the whole thing crashed.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

MLB | Oct 01
Texas Rangers vs. LAA Angels Total
9 un-105 at BOOKM > 18h.
Texas is without its top offensive player, shutting Josh Hamilton down for the season. The offense looked terrible in the first two games of this series, totaling 2 runs. Ace Kevin Millwood (12-10) takes the hill and has been solid all year, with a 2-1 record and a 3.57 ERA his last three starts. Los Angeles has clinched their third straight AL West title and rested two-thirds of its usual starting lineup the game after. Ace John Lackey goes here, with excellent stuff. Can't see much scoring, play the Rangers/Angels under the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rob Vinciletti

MLB | Oct 01
Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners Total
8 un-108 at 5DIMES > 22h.
On Thursday the Bonus Play is on the under in the Oakland at Seattle game. Rotation numbers 971/2 at 10:10 eastern. This game fits a nice under system that cashes nearly 70% of the time, so long as the total stays at 8 or higher. In the pitching match up the Athletics have left hander B.Anderson going tonight. In his starts vs Seattle he has been real good going 18 innings and allowing 5 runs this year. Over his last three outings he has a solid 1.43 era. Seattle counters with D.Fister tonight. He has one start vs Oakland this year and pitched real well allowing just 1 run over 5 + innings. Based on the system and the pitching efforts of both starters,take the under tonight. Those looking for something to pound. I have the MLB Game of the week. This big play is backed with an excellent system as well as a big pitching angle. Jump on Thursday nights big side play. The Bonus Play is on the under in the Oakland at Seattle game. bol RV.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

THURSDAY

Colorado/ Mill under 10

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Who the fuk changed the times??? Post 1 and 2 were posted way after post#3, i give up! I'm tired and this just is not worth it!

 

[Jay-L]

Can'tPickaWinner can you please post FantasySportsGameTime 2 team parlay please? if it loses we get the whole ncaa season FREE! they went 5-0 last weekend in ncaa picks. their site is

http://www.fantasysportsgametime.com/



thanks

 

[Ardzark]

any Joe Davis ?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bobby Maxwell

I've got a FREE winner on the college gridiron tonight as I grab the points and play Alabama-Birmingham in this Conference USA matchup with S. Mississippi.

This is your classic look-ahead game for Southern Mississippi. The Golden Eagles are certainly the better team in this matchup, but this road game in Alabama-Birmingham is sandwiched in between roadies to Kansas and Louisville. Three straight road games with this being the lightest opponent of the three. Absolutely Southern Mississippis is overlooking UAB.

At Texas A&M on Saturday, the Blazers got destroyed 56-19 as a 14-point road underdog. They crushed Rice in the season opener by 20 as a six-point home chalk. The Blazers have a decent running attack, netting 6.4 yards per carry and 230.5 yards per game on the ground. And that will come in handy against the Eagles' pourous offense that has given up 34.5 points a game in the last two outings.

Plus you know UAB has that 70-7 score plastered all over the locker room so they remember what they're playing for this year. Southern Miss crushed them last year and it's time for UAB to rise up and be noticed in Conference-USA, even if it is short-lived.

Two key injuries for Southern Mississippi in RB Damion Fletcher and WR DeAndre Brown. Two key components to the Eagles' offense.

UAB hasn't won in the last nine tries against the Eagles, and while I don't think they break that streak this year, they will get within the number. Play the Blazers.
4♦ UAB

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JEFF BENTON

For Thursday’s Bonus Play, I’ll back Southern Miss as a hefty road favorite at UAB.

I know the Golden Eagles are coming off a hard-fought loss at Kansas (35-28) and go right back on the road for this Conference USA game. I also know that they’ll be without two of their big offensive weapons in RB Damion Fletcher and WR DeAndre Brown. Still, it’s impossible to forget what happened the last two years when these teams met.

Back in 2007, Southern Miss whipped the Blazers 37-7 as an 11½-point road favorite, rolling up 456 yards (338 rushing) and allowing just 244 (65 rushing). Then last year, UAB went to Hattisburg, Miss., as a 7½-point road underdog … and got destroyed 70-14. In that win, the Eagles had 610 yards (463 rushing!) to UAB’s 223 yards (96 rushing), and QB Austin Davis went ballistic, completing 6 of 7 passes for 141 yards and a touchdown while rushing 10 times for 81 yards and five – FIVE! – TDs.

Davis is back under center at Southern Miss this year, and he’s been fantastic so far, completing two-thirds of his passes for 937 yards with eight TDs and just one INT (he’s also got 83 rushing yards and two scores). Davis guides a balanced attack that’s putting up nearly as many yards on the ground (208 per game) as through the air (237), and while Fletcher and Brown have contributed, they haven’t done it alone, as Southern Miss has a plethora of weapons. Tonight, those weapons face a UAB defense that’s a mess, giving up 35.5 points and 481 yards per game. That includes 544 yards and eight TDs allowed in last week’s 56-19 loss at Texas A&M as a 14-point underdog.

Yes, Southern Miss had an eight-game winning streak snapped at Kansas, but the Eagles are still 6-2 ATS in their last eight lined games. They’ve also cashed in nine of 11 on the road and nine of 11 when laying chalk on the road. Meanwhile, UAB has dropped three in a row SU and ATS, and even though the Blazers will be motivated to atone for last year’s 70-14 loss at Southern Miss, reality is, they don’t have the athletes to follow through. Throw in the fact that the Eagles have won all nine meetings in this rivalry this decade, going 5-1 ATS in the last six, and the only way to look in this one is to the favorite.
6? SOUTHERN MISS (BASED ON A 1? TO 10? SCALE)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JEFF BENTON

For Thursday’s Bonus Play, I’ll back Southern Miss as a hefty road favorite at UAB.

I know the Golden Eagles are coming off a hard-fought loss at Kansas (35-28) and go right back on the road for this Conference USA game. I also know that they’ll be without two of their big offensive weapons in RB Damion Fletcher and WR DeAndre Brown. Still, it’s impossible to forget what happened the last two years when these teams met.

Back in 2007, Southern Miss whipped the Blazers 37-7 as an 11½-point road favorite, rolling up 456 yards (338 rushing) and allowing just 244 (65 rushing). Then last year, UAB went to Hattisburg, Miss., as a 7½-point road underdog … and got destroyed 70-14. In that win, the Eagles had 610 yards (463 rushing!) to UAB’s 223 yards (96 rushing), and QB Austin Davis went ballistic, completing 6 of 7 passes for 141 yards and a touchdown while rushing 10 times for 81 yards and five – FIVE! – TDs.

Davis is back under center at Southern Miss this year, and he’s been fantastic so far, completing two-thirds of his passes for 937 yards with eight TDs and just one INT (he’s also got 83 rushing yards and two scores). Davis guides a balanced attack that’s putting up nearly as many yards on the ground (208 per game) as through the air (237), and while Fletcher and Brown have contributed, they haven’t done it alone, as Southern Miss has a plethora of weapons. Tonight, those weapons face a UAB defense that’s a mess, giving up 35.5 points and 481 yards per game. That includes 544 yards and eight TDs allowed in last week’s 56-19 loss at Texas A&M as a 14-point underdog.

Yes, Southern Miss had an eight-game winning streak snapped at Kansas, but the Eagles are still 6-2 ATS in their last eight lined games. They’ve also cashed in nine of 11 on the road and nine of 11 when laying chalk on the road. Meanwhile, UAB has dropped three in a row SU and ATS, and even though the Blazers will be motivated to atone for last year’s 70-14 loss at Southern Miss, reality is, they don’t have the athletes to follow through. Throw in the fact that the Eagles have won all nine meetings in this rivalry this decade, going 5-1 ATS in the last six, and the only way to look in this one is to the favorite.
6? SOUTHERN MISS (BASED ON A 1? TO 10? SCALE)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sports Gambling Hotline
Our Bonus Play run stands at 41-25-4.

For Thursday night, it is about time the Red Sox get not only a win, but a ringing win!

Boston got beat again on Wednesday, as they have now lost their last 6 games. We expect Jon Lester to rebound from a poor outing against the Yankees his last time out, and come through with some solid innings tonight. Lester has been much better at Fenway Park this season than on the road, as his 6-3 record with a 3.07 ERA can attest.

Carlos Carrasco will counter for the Indians, and all this kid has done is allow 19 runs in his 19 big league innings this season!

You get the feeling that Boston can take this game OVER the total themselves?

We sure do.

With last night's OVER, the Red Sox have now played 9 of their last 12 games OVER the posted price, and in this series, 8 of the last 11 games played in Beantown have eclipsed the posted total.

In fact, 4 of the 5 meetings overall this season between the Tribe and the Sox have played HIGH.

Have to stick with the trends, and play tonight's series opener to go OVER the total.
5? OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Karl Garrett

Comp play winner last night on Louisiana Tech over Hawaii.

For Thursday, the Phillies were able to sew up the NL East division title with the win last night, and while there may be a few regulars sitting on the bench, I don't think that is going to prevent the Phillies and Astros from playing another OVER.

Last night's game made it 3 in a row, and 7 of 9 in the OVER column for the Astros, while it put the Phillies OVER tear at 8 straight.

In this year's season series, ALL 3 played at the Bank have found their way into the HIGH column, and tonight's will as well.

Felipe Paulino has allowed 12 runs over his last 11 innings of work, and at 2-11 overall for the year with a 6.51 ERA, chances of him getting out the Phillie Phanatic look pretty slim this evening to the G-Man.

Cliff Lee is not likely to go very long, but will get some work in before the playoffs start, but keep in mind, Lee just got shelled for 7 runs in 6 innings against Milwaukee, and was lit by Houston in early September for 6 runs in 3 innings of work.

Have to believe the scoreboard will feature some more crooked digits tonight.

Take the OVER.
3♦ OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB WRITE-UP

Thursday, October 1

Hot Pitchers
-- Carpenter is 9-1, 2.16 in his last 13 starts. KWells is 2-1, 3.65 in his last four starts.
-- Parra is 2-0, 2.51 in his last three starts.
-- Hanson has a 2.65 RA in his last six starts.
-- Maholm has a 2.57 RA in his last three starts.

-- Millwood is 2-0, 2.57 in his last couple starts.
-- Lester has 2.27 RA in his last five home starts.
-- Garza has a 2.73 RA in his last five starts.
-- Anderson is 4-0, 3.04 in his last four starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Cook is 0-3, 6.95 in his last five starts.
-- Lincecum is 1-3, 3.60 in his last four starts.
-- Mock is 0-5, 7.59 in his last six starts.
-- Paulino is 0-7, 8.13 in his last seven starts. Lee is 2-3, 6.62 in his last six starts.
-- Haren is 2-2, 4.64 in his last seven starts.
-- Samardzija is 0-2, 10.80 in two starts for the Cubs.

-- Robertson is 1-1, 6.75 in his last three starts. Baker is 1-2, 5.40 in his last four starts.
-- Lackey has a 6.75 RA in his last three starts.
-- Waters was 9-7, 4.49 in 20 AAA starts this year.
-- Carrasco is 0-4, 11.43 in four starts this season.
-- Fister is 0-3, 10.13 in his last three starts.

Hot Teams
-- Reds won eight of their last nine games.
-- Nationals won their last three games, allowing eight runs. Braves won 15 of their last 19 games, but lost last two.
-- Phillies won three of last four games; they clinched division title last night.
-- Colorado won 14 of its last 18 home games.
-- Pirates won four of their last five games.

-- Indians won four of their last six games, but fired skipper Wednesday.
-- Tigers won seven of their last ten games. Twins won 12 of their last 16 games, but lost last two.
-- Rays won seven of their last eight home games.
-- Angels won their last four games, scoring 28 runs.
-- Mariners won six of their last seven home games.

Cold Teams
-- Cardinals lost five of their last six games.
-- Brewers lost last three games, allowing 23 runs.
-- Astros lost 13 of their last 16 games.
-- Giants are 6-7 in their last thirteen home games. Arizona lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Cubs lost three of their last four games.

-- Orioles lost their last thirteen games in a row.
-- Red Sox lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Rangers lost 12 of their last 17 games.
-- Oakland lost its last three games, outscored 20-8.

Totals
-- Under is 11-2-1 in last fourteen Carpenter starts.
-- Five of last six Cook starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Haren starts.
-- Four of last five Paulino starts stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Hanson starts stayed under the total.
-- Six of Cubs' last seven games stayed under the total.

-- Under is 5-1-1 in Baker's last seven starts.
-- Eight of last ten Texas games went over the total.
-- Over is 10-5-1 in last sixteen Baltimore road games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in Lester's last eight home starts.
-- Five of last seven Anderson road starts went over the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB ADDITIONAL

Thursday, October 1

Trend Report

12:35 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. CINCINNATI
St. Louis is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games on the road
St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Cincinnati is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

1:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Detroit is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

3:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. COLORADO
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:45 PM
ARIZONA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Arizona is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona

6:05 PM
TEXAS vs. LA ANGELS
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Texas
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Texas

7:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Houston is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Philadelphia is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

7:08 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TAMPA BAY
Baltimore is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BOSTON
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games when playing at home against Cleveland

7:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CHI CUBS
Pittsburgh is 4-15 SU in their last 19 games when playing Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home
Chi Cubs are 15-4 SU in their last 19 games when playing Pittsburgh

10:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. SEATTLE
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Oakland is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Seattle is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Oakland

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bobby Maxwell

I've got a FREE winner on the college gridiron tonight as I grab the points and play Alabama-Birmingham in this Conference USA matchup with S. Mississippi.

This is your classic look-ahead game for Southern Mississippi. The Golden Eagles are certainly the better team in this matchup, but this road game in Alabama-Birmingham is sandwiched in between roadies to Kansas and Louisville. Three straight road games with this being the lightest opponent of the three. Absolutely Southern Mississippis is overlooking UAB.

At Texas A&M on Saturday, the Blazers got destroyed 56-19 as a 14-point road underdog. They crushed Rice in the season opener by 20 as a six-point home chalk. The Blazers have a decent running attack, netting 6.4 yards per carry and 230.5 yards per game on the ground. And that will come in handy against the Eagles' pourous offense that has given up 34.5 points a game in the last two outings.

Plus you know UAB has that 70-7 score plastered all over the locker room so they remember what they're playing for this year. Southern Miss crushed them last year and it's time for UAB to rise up and be noticed in Conference-USA, even if it is short-lived.

Two key injuries for Southern Mississippi in RB Damion Fletcher and WR DeAndre Brown. Two key components to the Eagles' offense.

UAB hasn't won in the last nine tries against the Eagles, and while I don't think they break that streak this year, they will get within the number. Play the Blazers.
4♦ UAB